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The labor reform in Spain led to a lot of controversy among economists. Dani Rodrik (link), for instance, claims that labor market deregulation and fewer firing restrictions will further increase the unemployment rate since the major cause of it is the lack of labor demand. On the other hand, a handful of economists claim that Spain's persistent labor market rigidities are the major cause of country's high unemployment rate.
According to World Bank, redundancy cost in Spain averages 56 weeks of wages, more than twice the OECD level. During recessions, the decline in labor demand usually increases the unemployment rate and, therefore, hiring and firing restrictions do not exert the major influence on firm's decisions to employ additional units of labor. However, the persistence of strong labor market regulation imposes significant economic costs.
First, firms do not employ the optimum amount of labor. High redundancy cost and rigid dismissal procedures lead to either under-employment or over-employment of labor. Thus, firms shift the burden of high labor cost on higher prices, lower dividends and lower net wages.
Second, labor market regulation has broader implications. It eventually leads to more institutional rigidities and more pressure on higher wages by trade unions through collective bargaining. Consequently, wages become downward rigid. During the economic recovery, firms are therefore less motivated to employ new workers or extend the existing labor contracts.
As Spain finally recovered from the recession, the ongoing labor rigidity and even the increasing labor demand could not alleviate Spain's high unemployment rate. It would only put more pressure on Spain's government to increase government spending on unemployment schemes. Therefore, the reform of the labor law based on labor market flexibility is the most plausible alternative for Spain to boost employment and decrease the widening budget deficit that threatens country's economic recovery.
Nice post! Thanks for the link to Dani Rodrik's peculiar view. I have suggested to him that it might help to think of unemployment as a labour market problem.
ReplyDeleteYes, I agree. The unemployment should be clarified on the grounds of labor market rigidity rather than as a consequence of inadequate aggregate labor demand.
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